Week 16 NFL Picks
Last Week: 8-7 Overall: 110-103 Best Bets: 22-18-3 Monday Night: 9-7 Against Cincy: 4-9-1
Houston -7 @ Indianapolis
The Colts got their win to avoid the imperfect season and have no reason to play hard and screw up their draft position. Even if they wanted to, I’m not so sure they’d have a chance anyway. Houston has a top defense and T.J. Yates’ poor performance last week surely brought this down to a reasonable 7. He should rebound and sew up a needed win for the Texans’ playoff seeding.
Oakland +2.5 @ Kansas City
The Raiders finally have a winnable game after a rough December stretch. They were shut out last time against the Chiefs in Carson Palmer’s first start as a Raider. Since then, Matt Cassell has been lost for the year and his coach has been fired. Kansas City had their Superbowl last week against the Packers and will be drained for this one.
Denver -3 @ Buffalo
Tebow gets the Broncos back on track here against a horrendous Bills team. The Chosen One did get smoked by Tom Brady last week, but most of it wasn’t his fault. He should manage the game for an easy win here.
Jacksonville +7.5 @ Tennessee
Can’t make up my mind on what either of these teams are at this point. But I know not to pick the team that just lost to the Colts to win by more than a touchdown.
Arizona +4 @ Cincinnati
The Bengals can’t beat good teams, which the Cardinals just might be.
Miami +9.5 @ New England
There’s been a lot of talk around New England that the number one seed is wrapped up. Very dangerous considering the Dolphins have won five out of seven, only losing to a couple of NFC East teams.
Cleveland @ Baltimore -12.5
There is no line too high for this game. The Ravens will be out for blood at home after getting trounced on NBC last Sunday night.
NY Giants -3 @ NY Jets
The Giants have to travel all the way to the other side of the hallway for this one. They’ll overcome that factor and beat the Jets, who still can’t beat good teams.
Minnesota @ Washington -6.5
Peterson should be back and play more than he did last week, but I think the Ponder/Harvin Show comes to an end outdoors. The Redskins may be a bit better than we all thought after what they did to the Giants last week.
Tampa Bay @ Carolina -7.5
The way the Bucs are playing, they couldn’t keep up with a Texas high school team. Cam Newton locks up Rookie of the Year in this one with some big numbers.
St. Louis +16 @ Pittsburgh
The line is just too high to take the Steelers with a non-sex offender starting at quarterback.
San Diego +2.5 @ Detroit
Nobody is hotter than the Chargers these days. Detroit lucked out with a close win against the Raiders last week, but they have shown that they are going downhill over the past month. The Lions defense will look invisible to Phillip Rivers after facing Baltimore last week.
San Francisco -2.5 @ Seattle
Interesting little game we have here. The Seahawks have won five out of six and Marshawn Lynch might be getting some MVP attention. But everybody knows the stat by now. The 49ers haven’t let up a rushing touchdown all year. That takes away Seattle’s best weapon and should put this game well out of reach.
Philadelphia +1.5 @ Dallas
Dallas really should win this game, but they should also have beaten the Giants when they came to town a few weeks ago. Instead they got clipped in a game they had to have to get some separation in the division. Philly is hot lately and something just tells me that there will be some big plays from Vick to keep the Eagles’ hopes alive.
Chicago @ Green Bay -13
It’s tempting to pick Chicago because the Packers lost their shot at a perfect season last week and may be resting some players. But the Bears will be rolling out their third quarterback of the year and Green Bay technically doesn’t have the number one seed in their pocket yet. They’ll offer up the full arsenal one more time on Christmas.
Atlanta @ New Orleans -6.5
The Falcons ran away with things last week in prime time. But the Saint’s ain’t the Jaguars. This should be a very entertaining game for the Monday Night Football finale and many fantasy championships will be decided in this one, but the Saints will pull away in the end.
Best Bets: NY Giants, Baltimore, San Diego